The Matter of Who Is Coming Count
Maybe. Likely. Will see. The headcount is now a probability distribution.
The Matter of Who Is Coming Count
Priya sent the message at noon.
Saturday, my place, dinner. Who's in?
By three o'clock she had received: two "sounds goods," one "likely," one heart emoji, one "might be able to," one "check with me Friday," and a voice note from Rohit that she had not yet opened because voice notes while commuting felt like homework.
She opened a notes app. She wrote: Confirmed: 2. Likely: 2. Unknown: 3.
Then she stared at the word likely and realized it meant nothing.
Arjun replied at five. Should be there, just depends on timing.
Priya stared at "depends on timing" for a long moment. Everything depends on timing. Timing is not a piece of information.
She moved Arjun to a new category labeled: Schrodinger's guest.
By Thursday she had a working model of Saturday's attendance. The model ranged from four people to nine people, with a confidence interval she had stopped trusting. She had planned food for seven. This was, she understood, a feeling rather than a calculation.
Meera texted: What should I bring?
Priya wrote back: Nothing! because asking a maybe-guest to bring something felt like extracting a commitment they had not offered.
She then bought two extra bottles of wine and a backup bag of chips, which was the same as asking Meera to bring something, just more expensive.
Saturday arrived. Six people came. One person who had said "maybe" appeared without warning. One person who had said "definitely" sent a message at 6:47 PM that said: so sorry, long story.
The six people ate well. The food was enough. The chips were not opened.
Priya messaged the group afterward. That was great, let's do it again.
Eleven thumbs-up reactions appeared within the hour. Everyone had a good time. No one had technically committed to being there.
Both things were true. Neither was going to change.
The second ambiguous RSVP creates precedent. By the third, vagueness is the format. Everyone follows the format, including Priya.